The Tide Has Turned – Global Outlook & Strategy Q1 2022

There is a regime change underway in investment markets – the re-emergence of inflation after
decades of slumber. This will lead to a gradual increase in interest rates and the unwinding of
accommodative central bank policy (some of which are still arguably at “emergency settings”).
Not surprisingly, this comes at a time of record global debt, stretched valuations and layers of
speculative frenzy, the likes of which we have never seen… or have we?

KEY POINTS
• Inflation awakes from its decades-long slumber
• Interest rates are set to move higher, challenging valuations
• Global growth remains above trend
• Record government debt will hinder longer term growth
• A challenging investment environment with higher volatility
• Many assets are already down quite substantially

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